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2011-01-17

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 90.5% 9.5% -
Bradley-Terry 89.1% 10.9% -
Margin 97.2% 2.8% -19.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -26 (57-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Dolson 0 5-5 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 1 1 10 15 -
B. Hartley 0 5-11 1-2 0-0 5 8 4 0 3 11 14 -
T. Hayes 0 9-18 2-6 9-11 8 4 1 0 3 29 21 -
M. Moore 0 10-18 1-4 5-6 10 2 1 1 2 26 20 -
K. Faris 0 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 2 4 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. DeGraffenreid 0 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 5 6 -
C. Shegog 0 2-8 0-0 5-6 1 0 1 2 1 9 4 -
K. Gross 0 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 4 6 -
J. Breland 0 3-11 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 6 -4 -
I. Lucas 0 5-15 2-9 1-2 1 2 3 0 2 13 2 -

* = starter