Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Bucs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +30.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +40 (87-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Bucs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Belcher | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Davis | 0 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -6 | - |
| T. Austin | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Pickwell | 0 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Breland | 0 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
* = starter