Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -12 (74-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| J. Breland | 0 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 14 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Snowden | 0 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| T. Ogden | 0 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Mathies | 0 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| V. Dunlap | 0 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | - |
| B. Pinkett | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter