Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Griffin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Kastanek | 0 | 8-17 | 6-12 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 20 | - |
| A. White | 0 | 1-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Williams | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Holston | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Breland | 0 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 4-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 5 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter