Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Franklin | 0 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Wolfe | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Shine | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Moorer | 0 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| W. Rolle | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
* = starter