Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Edwards | 0 | 1-6 | - | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 10 | |||
| T. Thompson | 0 | -2 | -1 | - | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| J. Ross | 0 | 5-21 | 4-20 | - | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | |
| M. Arnold | 0 | 2-6 | -1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | |
| R. Moult | 0 | 4-16 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-6 | -2 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | ||
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-4 | -2 | - | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 4-8 | - | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | |
| J. Breland | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 |
* = starter