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2010-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 18.3% 81.7% -
Bradley-Terry 15.3% 84.7% -
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +29 (87-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
K. Penn 0 5-12 - 1-2 8 3 6 11 4
L. Rukavina 0 3-5 - - 2 2 1 6 4
L. McCully 0 4-11 3-4 2-2 7 4 2 4 13 11
E. Mitchell 0 2-6 -1 - 3 3 5 4 -1
C. McGee 0 2-12 - -3 6 2 3 2 4 1

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
I. Lucas 0 9-15 4-7 3-3 3 1 25 14
J. Breland 0 6-16 -1 2-2 7 1 2 3 14 11
C. DeGraffenreid 0 3-5 -1 1-3 2 8 4 1 7 15
C. Shegog 0 4-5 - 2-2 7 1 4 10 9
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 3-7 - 1-2 6 4 1 1 7 10

* = starter