Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +29 (87-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Penn | 0 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Rukavina | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. McCully | 0 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Mitchell | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. McGee | 0 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lucas | 0 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - |
| J. Breland | 0 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
* = starter