Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Shegog | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Breland | 0 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 0 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | - |
| A. Vernerey | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 0 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Thomas | 0 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Selby | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter