Michigan
2007 Team Stats (7 games)
59.7
PPG
72.4
Opp
-12.7
Margin
42.2%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
32.1
RPG
11.7
APG
14.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
58.1
Adj Opp PPG
#63
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1178 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1181 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1039 (#113) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.9 (#63) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +9.2 (#64) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.668 (#87) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.883 (#52) | AdjNet +17.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.886 (#52) | AdjNet +17.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.694 (#63) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 58.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.599 (#84) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.740 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.723 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1169 (#65) | RD 110 | GP 35 |
2007 Schedule & Results
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.