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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

2007 Team Stats (7 games)

59.7
PPG
72.4
Opp
-12.7
Margin
42.2%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
32.1
RPG
11.7
APG
14.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
58.1
Adj Opp PPG
#63
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1178 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1181 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More โ†’ 1039 (#113) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +9.9 (#63) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +9.2 (#64) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.668 (#87) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.5 More โ†’ 0.883 (#52) AdjNet +17.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.7 More โ†’ 0.886 (#52) AdjNet +17.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 58.1 More โ†’ 0.694 (#63) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 58.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 60.5 More โ†’ 0.599 (#84) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 60.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.740 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.723 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1169 (#65) RD 110 | GP 35

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-10 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 60 - 40
2006-11-11 vs Davidson Wildcats W 78 - 68
2006-11-12 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 80 - 51
2006-11-15 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 66 - 59
2006-11-17 vs Harvard Crimson W 82 - 50
2006-11-22 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 65 - 56
2006-11-25 vs UMBC Retrievers W 66 - 54
2006-11-27 @ NC State Wolfpack L 67 - 74
2006-12-02 vs Wofford Terriers W 83 - 49
2006-12-07 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks W 62 - 56
2006-12-09 vs Delaware State Hornets W 70 - 43
2006-12-16 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 67 - 52
2006-12-23 @ UCLA Bruins L 55 - 92
2006-12-28 vs Army Black Knights W 62 - 50
2006-12-30 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 51 - 67
2007-01-03 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 71 - 61
2007-01-06 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 58 - 46
2007-01-13 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 53 - 67
2007-01-17 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 77 - 57
2007-01-20 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 71 - 55
2007-01-24 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 58 - 71
2007-01-27 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 61 - 76
2007-01-31 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 62 - 69
2007-02-06 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 63 - 76
2007-02-10 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 82 - 80
2007-02-13 @ Michigan State Spartans L 44 - 59
2007-02-17 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 58 - 55
2007-02-21 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 42 - 54
2007-02-24 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 62 - 51
2007-02-27 vs Michigan State Spartans W 67 - 56
2007-03-03 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 61 - 65
2007-03-08 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 49 - 40
2007-03-09 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 62 - 72
2007-03-13 vs Utah State Aggies W 68 - 58
2007-03-15 @ Florida State Seminoles L 66 - 87

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.