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2006-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 68.9% 31.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (34.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +37 (92-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 28 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -6 -
C. Sims 24 6-10 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 5 4 13 7 -
L. Abram 23 4-6 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 11 8 -
J. Smith 23 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 4 3 -
R. Coleman 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 2 -2 -
E. Udoh 20 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 7 6 -
B. Petway 20 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 4 8 9 -
D. Sims 16 2-8 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 5 -2 -
R. Baker 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Shepherd 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 3 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 28 6-7 1-1 2-2 2 8 2 0 2 15 18 -
A. Afflalo 27 6-13 3-5 2-3 1 2 0 1 1 17 7 -
L. Mbah a Moute 26 4-8 1-1 4-4 2 2 7 1 1 13 16 -
L. Mata-Real 25 4-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
J. Shipp 25 7-10 1-4 3-3 3 2 2 0 2 18 13 -
M. Roll 20 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
R. Westbrook 13 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
R. Wright 10 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
A. Aboya 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Keefe 9 1-1 1-1 1-2 5 0 0 2 1 4 9 -
N. Dragovic 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter