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2007-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% -
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% -
Log Adjusted 9.0% 91.0% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (49-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. McKenzie * 40 2-8 1-4 0-2 7 3 2 0 5 5 4 -
K. Payton * 27 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 0 1 -
D. Coleman * 27 1-9 0-0 4-6 6 0 1 2 1 6 5 -
D. Johnson * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
B. Webster * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Tollackson 33 6-11 0-0 3-7 1 2 0 0 1 15 6 -
J. Abu-Shamala 31 2-4 2-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
J. Williams 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 4 9 -
B. Smith 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
L. Westbrook 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 38 3-10 2-6 6-6 4 1 1 0 3 14 7 -
J. Smith * 35 1-5 1-1 4-6 5 4 2 0 4 7 9 -
L. Abram * 30 1-10 0-5 1-1 1 2 1 0 2 3 -5 -
C. Sims * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 2 4 8 -
B. Petway * 24 2-5 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 3 1 8 11 -
E. Udoh 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sims 14 3-6 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
R. Coleman 12 1-3 1-2 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
J. Shepherd 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter