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2007-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 45.2% 54.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Coleman 36 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 8 9 -
C. Sims 28 5-8 0-0 6-7 4 0 1 2 7 16 8 -
L. Abram 27 4-6 1-2 1-3 1 0 1 0 4 10 2 -
D. Harris 26 4-9 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 9 -1 -
E. Udoh 23 1-3 0-0 4-4 4 1 2 2 1 6 11 -
J. Smith 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 0 2 -
B. Petway 13 1-3 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 2 1 2 6 -
D. Sims 12 2-8 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Shepherd 9 1-3 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
R. Baker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Price 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor 33 1-4 1-3 5-6 0 4 0 0 1 8 7 -
M. Flowers 29 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 1 2 6 7 -
M. Landry 25 4-7 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 2 0 8 8 -
B. Butch 20 6-8 0-0 4-6 4 1 1 0 1 16 13 -
J. Krabbenhoft 19 2-4 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 0 1 6 8 -
T. Hughes 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 3 6 -
A. Tucker 18 6-9 0-0 4-8 3 2 0 0 2 16 10 -
J. Chappell 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
G. Stiemsma 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 3 3 -
J. Bohannon 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
K. Gullikson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Bronson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter