Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan * | 35 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| M. Gray * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Joseph * | 15 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| G. Suton | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Harris * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| B. Petway * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Abram * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Udoh * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sims | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Coleman | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Sims | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Baker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter