Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (59-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris * | 36 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| L. Abram * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Sims * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Petway * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Coleman * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Udoh | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Sims | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Baker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 38 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| T. Walton * | 36 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| M. Gray * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| G. Suton | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Joseph | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| I. Ibok | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter