Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +12 (54-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris * | 38 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | - |
| E. Udoh * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Abram * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Smith * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| B. Petway * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Sims | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| R. Coleman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Baker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Sims | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier * | 38 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. McBride * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| W. Carter * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Randle * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Brock | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Arnold | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Meacham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter