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2007-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 38 6-11 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 14 7 -
E. Udoh 32 7-10 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 2 2 14 12 -
L. Abram 28 2-8 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 6 -1 -
C. Sims 28 8-14 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 17 10 -
R. Coleman 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Sims 20 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
J. Shepherd 15 0-3 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
R. Baker 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
B. Petway 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Conley 36 9-12 2-3 3-3 1 6 0 1 1 23 18 -
J. Butler 35 2-6 1-3 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 9 8 -
G. Oden 30 8-15 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 7 3 17 13 -
R. Lewis 27 1-5 1-3 3-4 3 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
O. Hunter 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 4 0 4 13 -
I. Harris 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 3 4 -
D. Cook 15 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
M. Terwilliger 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Lighty 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter