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2007-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 6.6% 93.4% +18.9 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +13 (76-63). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 38 6-11 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 14 7 -
Ekpe Udoh * 32 7-10 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 2 2 14 12 -
Lester Abram * 28 2-8 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Courtney Sims * 28 8-14 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 17 10 -
Ron Coleman * 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
DeShawn Sims 20 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
Jevohn Shepherd 15 0-3 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Reed Baker 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
B. Petway 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Conley * 36 9-12 2-3 3-3 1 6 0 1 1 23 18 -
Jamar Butler * 35 2-6 1-3 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 9 8 -
Greg Oden * 30 8-15 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 7 3 17 13 -
Ron Lewis * 27 1-5 1-3 3-4 3 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
I. Harris * 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 3 4 -
Othello Hunter 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 4 0 4 13 -
Daequan Cook 15 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
Matt Terwilliger 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
David Lighty 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter