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2007-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carroll * 37 9-17 3-5 1-1 7 2 0 0 3 22 11 -
D. Peterson * 35 3-8 1-5 2-3 3 3 0 0 3 9 4 -
S. DuCharme * 31 4-9 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
K. Clark * 31 3-8 1-2 2-2 4 5 0 0 3 9 7 -
C. Spicer * 17 1-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 -3 -
C. Session 28 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 2 8 -
N. Hammer 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
A. Vaitiekus 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 33 3-14 2-8 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 10 -1 -
J. Smith * 31 3-6 3-5 6-6 2 4 1 0 4 15 12 -
L. Abram * 30 5-11 0-2 2-4 7 2 2 0 1 12 11 -
C. Sims * 26 1-4 0-0 2-3 9 2 1 2 1 4 13 -
B. Petway * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
D. Sims 14 6-11 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 14 8 -
E. Udoh 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 0 4 5 -
R. Coleman 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
D. Merritt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Shepherd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Price 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter