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2007-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 37 1-13 1-6 6-6 4 6 0 0 5 9 1 -
L. Abram * 37 4-7 3-4 2-3 4 4 1 0 0 13 15 -
B. Petway * 32 3-5 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 0 3 8 12 -
J. Smith * 30 4-10 2-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 5 12 4 -
C. Sims * 22 2-9 0-0 3-5 7 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
E. Udoh 17 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
R. Coleman 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Sims 8 2-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
R. Baker 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Shepherd 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Conley * 33 5-9 1-2 2-2 2 6 3 0 3 13 12 -
J. Butler * 30 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
G. Oden * 28 8-12 0-0 6-10 8 0 0 4 1 22 21 -
D. Cook * 17 3-7 1-2 2-4 4 0 2 0 0 9 8 -
I. Harris * 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
R. Lewis 31 5-8 2-4 4-4 1 1 2 0 0 16 12 -
O. Hunter 27 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 2 -
M. Terwilliger 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
D. Lighty 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter