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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% -
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% -
Log Adjusted 9.0% 91.0% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wilson * 35 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
S. Tollackson * 23 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
B. Smith * 16 2-2 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 1 2 7 9 -
B. Webster * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Coleman 35 7-17 1-1 3-3 8 1 1 2 1 18 12 -
L. McKenzie 33 7-14 2-5 2-4 0 7 0 0 1 18 10 -
J. Abu-Shamala 19 3-5 3-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
J. Williams 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
K. Payton 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Johnson 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 36 8-10 2-3 9-10 1 3 3 0 3 27 21 -
R. Coleman * 35 4-6 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 10 8 -
C. Sims * 33 2-6 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 1 1 8 9 -
B. Petway * 23 7-9 0-0 4-5 7 2 1 2 1 18 20 -
L. Abram * 22 4-8 0-2 3-7 2 2 0 1 4 11 4 -
J. Smith 25 0-0 0-0 4-4 0 6 0 1 3 4 8 -
J. Shepherd 9 1-1 0-0 2-5 3 2 0 0 0 4 8 -
E. Udoh 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sims 8 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter