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2007-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% -
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler * 35 2-10 1-6 3-4 6 6 0 0 1 8 9 -
R. Lewis * 32 5-7 2-3 4-5 1 2 2 1 0 16 15 -
M. Conley * 28 5-10 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 11 6 -
G. Oden * 23 6-8 0-0 4-5 6 0 0 2 1 16 15 -
I. Harris * 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Terwilliger 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
O. Hunter 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 8 4 -
D. Lighty 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Cook 14 0-5 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith * 37 3-4 2-2 2-2 4 7 2 0 6 10 13 -
D. Harris * 36 6-15 3-9 4-7 2 4 1 0 4 19 7 -
B. Petway * 33 4-5 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 1 0 11 15 -
C. Sims * 24 4-7 0-0 3-5 2 0 0 1 1 11 6 -
L. Abram * 24 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
E. Udoh 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Coleman 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Shepherd 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Sims 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter