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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 70.9% 29.1% -
Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% -
Log Adjusted 85.0% 15.0% -

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -11 (51-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith * 35 3-4 0-0 2-3 9 5 0 1 2 8 17 -
L. Abram * 35 6-9 1-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 14 6 -
D. Harris * 34 4-12 3-7 4-4 6 3 1 0 3 15 10 -
E. Udoh * 30 6-9 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 4 0 14 15 -
B. Petway * 21 1-4 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 3 1 3 6 -
C. Sims 22 2-5 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 2 7 5 -
R. Baker 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Sims 6 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
R. Coleman 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Shepherd 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Price 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. McKenzie * 36 0-10 0-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 0 -11 -
D. Coleman * 33 5-10 0-1 4-6 4 1 2 2 1 14 12 -
L. Westbrook * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Johnson * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Webster * 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Abu-Shamala 35 8-13 5-8 6-6 6 1 2 0 0 27 23 -
S. Tollackson 29 2-8 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 -
K. Payton 24 0-0 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 3 6 -
J. Williams 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 0 8 -
B. Smith 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter