๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Minnesota Timberwolves

Also known as: Minnesota Timberwolves
Program History

2020 Team Stats (17 games)

119.2
PPG
125.3
Opp
-6.1
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.2%
3P%
78.2%
FT%
41.9
RPG
25.6
APG
-
TO
-
Est. poss./game
112.2
Adj PPG
116.0
Adj Opp PPG
#22
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 770 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 859 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2 elo More โ†’ 994 (#17) HCA +2 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ -3.9 (#22) HCA +2.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.1 More โ†’ -4.6 (#25) HCA +1.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.395 (#24) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.8 More โ†’ 0.550 (#12) NetEff +1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.2 More โ†’ 0.409 (#22) AdjNet -3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.2 More โ†’ 0.409 (#22) AdjNet -3.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 112.2 | AdjD 116.0 More โ†’ 0.414 (#22) AdjO 112.2 | AdjD 116.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 112.9 | AdjD 113.7 More โ†’ 0.483 (#21) AdjO 112.9 | AdjD 113.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.373 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.386 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 64 More โ†’ 894 (#24) RD 350 | GP 64

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2019-10-25 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2019-10-27 vs Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2019-10-30 @ Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2019-11-03 @ Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2019-11-05 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2019-11-07 @ Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2019-11-09 vs Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2019-11-10 vs Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2019-11-12 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2019-11-14 vs San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2019-11-16 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2019-11-17 vs Houston Rockets - Incomplete score
2019-11-19 @ Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2019-11-21 vs Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2019-11-23 vs Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2019-11-26 @ Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2019-11-28 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2019-12-01 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2019-12-04 @ Dallas Mavericks L 114 - 121
2019-12-06 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 127 - 139
2019-12-09 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2019-12-10 @ Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2019-12-12 vs Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2019-12-14 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2019-12-19 vs New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2019-12-21 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2019-12-22 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2019-12-24 @ Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2019-12-27 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2019-12-29 vs Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2019-12-31 vs Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2020-01-02 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2020-01-03 vs Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2020-01-06 @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2020-01-08 @ Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2020-01-10 vs Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2020-01-11 @ Houston Rockets - Incomplete score
2020-01-14 vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2020-01-16 vs Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2020-01-17 @ Indiana Pacers L 114 - 116
2020-01-19 vs Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2020-01-21 vs Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2020-01-23 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2020-01-24 vs Houston Rockets L 124 - 131
2020-01-25 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 104 - 113
2020-01-27 vs Sacramento Kings L 129 - 133
2020-02-01 @ LA Clippers L 106 - 118
2020-02-03 @ Sacramento Kings L 109 - 113
2020-02-05 vs Atlanta Hawks L 120 - 127
2020-02-08 vs LA Clippers W 142 - 115
2020-02-10 @ Toronto Raptors L 126 - 137
2020-02-12 vs Charlotte Hornets L 108 - 115
2020-02-21 vs Boston Celtics L 117 - 127
2020-02-23 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2020-02-24 @ Dallas Mavericks L 123 - 139
2020-02-27 @ Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2020-02-29 @ Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2020-03-01 vs Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2020-03-03 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 139 - 134
2020-03-05 vs Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2020-03-06 vs Orlando Magic L 118 - 132
2020-03-08 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 107 - 120
2020-03-11 @ Houston Rockets - Incomplete score

2020 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Karl-Anthony Towns Karl-Anthony Towns C 11 35.3 26.6 9.4 4.9 1.0 1.3 - 18.2 - - - - - 50.5 44.0 78.4 - 63.0 58.8
Malik Beasley Malik Beasley G 8 33.2 24.0 5.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 - 18.5 - - - - - 50.7 45.7 66.7 - 62.1 61.5
Andrew Wiggins Andrew Wiggins G 8 34.2 22.8 5.2 3.5 0.6 0.8 - 17.6 - -20 27 -0.7 -47.1 45.4 42.6 68.9 0.75 56.6 53.5
D'Angelo Russell D'Angelo Russell G 7 31.7 20.3 4.1 7.1 0.9 0.3 - 17.7 - - - - - 37.9 27.8 94.3 - 50.9 44.0
Jeff Teague Jeff Teague G 2 34.0 17.5 3.0 7.5 1.0 0.0 - 11.0 - -45 33 -1.4 -180.0 54.5 57.1 100.0 -0.36 69.8 63.6
Robert Covington Robert Covington F 8 32.4 14.6 6.9 1.2 1.2 0.8 - 11.4 - -24 35 -0.7 -56.5 46.2 38.3 83.3 0.75 60.8 58.8
James Johnson C 8 23.8 12.4 4.9 3.9 1.2 1.6 - 9.0 - - - - - 47.2 44.8 72.0 - 59.6 56.2
Juancho Hernangomez Juancho Hernangomez F 8 29.2 12.1 6.4 1.1 1.0 0.2 - 9.4 - - - - - 42.7 39.4 62.5 - 54.4 51.3
Josh Okogie Josh Okogie G 17 27.2 10.9 4.2 1.2 1.3 0.1 - 7.1 - - - - - 49.2 30.8 86.2 - 62.6 54.2
Shabazz Napier G 8 25.8 10.5 4.1 6.6 1.1 0.1 - 7.5 - - - - - 46.7 35.5 81.0 - 60.7 55.8
Naz Reid Naz Reid C 12 17.4 9.2 4.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 - 8.2 - - - - - 39.4 35.3 90.9 - 50.6 45.5
Jordan McLaughlin Jordan McLaughlin G 15 20.6 9.1 1.6 4.5 1.1 0.3 - 6.5 - - - - - 56.1 47.5 72.7 - 66.6 65.8
Jake Layman Jake Layman - 4 15.9 8.0 1.5 0.2 0.5 0.0 - 5.8 - - - - - 47.8 22.2 80.0 - 58.4 52.2
Jarrett Culver Jarrett Culver G 17 23.7 7.7 3.1 1.3 0.9 0.5 - 7.6 - - - - - 39.2 22.6 56.7 - 45.7 43.8
Kelan Martin F 10 12.6 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.3 - 3.6 - - - - - 47.2 21.1 100.0 - 61.7 52.8
Treveon Graham - 2 13.0 4.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 - 4.0 - - - - - 50.0 25.0 0 - 56.2 56.2
Jordan Bell Jordan Bell - 4 10.0 4.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - 3.0 - - - - - 58.3 0.0 50.0 - 58.0 58.3
Keita Bates-Diop Keita Bates-Diop - 8 16.7 4.4 2.4 1.5 0.2 0.6 - 4.6 - 17 20 0.8 56.7 37.8 17.6 100.0 0.04 45.1 41.9
Jaylen Nowell Jaylen Nowell - 5 9.4 4.0 0.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 - 2.8 - - - - - 42.9 25.0 100.0 - 58.5 46.4
Gorgui Dieng Gorgui Dieng - 9 11.2 3.7 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.4 - 3.3 - -42 28 -1.5 -168.0 43.3 33.3 66.7 -0.36 52.7 51.7
Allen Crabbe - 7 13.4 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 - 3.3 - - - - - 34.8 22.2 50.0 - 44.0 43.5
Jarred Vanderbilt Jarred Vanderbilt - 2 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.5 - - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Noah Vonleh Noah Vonleh - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 - 70 24 2.9 164.7 0 0 0 0.77 0 0
Jacob Evans - 2 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.5 - - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2019-2020 Shot Zones

5854 located field-goal attempts in 64 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Wiggins13% Wiggins20% Wiggins22% Russell30% Wiggins21% Wiggins11% Okogie12% Towns14% Towns21% Covington19%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Culver15% Wiggins19% Wiggins21% Wiggins36% Wiggins28% Covington9% Okogie14% Wiggins16% Towns16% Covington14%
Misses: who misses most here

Andrew WigginsKarl-Anthony TownsRobert CovingtonJarrett CulverJosh OkogieD'Angelo Russell

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 1268-2039 62.2 2536 Andrew Wiggins 13% (326 pts) Karl-Anthony Towns 12% (316 pts) Jarrett Culver 15% (116 misses) Andrew Wiggins 10% (78 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 303-864 35.1 606 Andrew Wiggins 20% (122 pts) Jeff Teague 15% (92 pts) Andrew Wiggins 19% (108 misses) Jeff Teague 11% (62 misses)
Mid-range left 64-183 35.0 128 Andrew Wiggins 22% (28 pts) Karl-Anthony Towns 16% (20 pts) Andrew Wiggins 21% (25 misses) Karl-Anthony Towns 18% (22 misses)
Mid-range center 37-92 40.2 74 D'Angelo Russell 30% (22 pts) Andrew Wiggins 24% (18 pts) Andrew Wiggins 36% (20 misses) D'Angelo Russell 15% (8 misses)
Mid-range right 61-147 41.5 122 Andrew Wiggins 21% (26 pts) Malik Beasley 13% (16 pts) Andrew Wiggins 28% (24 misses) Gorgui Dieng 15% (13 misses)
Left corner 3 84-249 33.7 252 Andrew Wiggins 11% (27 pts) Keita Bates-Diop 11% (27 pts) Robert Covington 9% (15 misses) Andrew Wiggins 8% (14 misses)
Right corner 3 69-209 33.0 207 Josh Okogie 12% (24 pts) Gorgui Dieng 10% (21 pts) Josh Okogie 14% (20 misses) Jarrett Culver 14% (19 misses)
Above-break 3 left 268-786 34.1 804 Karl-Anthony Towns 14% (111 pts) Andrew Wiggins 13% (105 pts) Andrew Wiggins 16% (82 misses) Robert Covington 12% (61 misses)
Above-break 3 center 221-664 33.3 663 Karl-Anthony Towns 21% (141 pts) Robert Covington 15% (99 pts) Karl-Anthony Towns 16% (73 misses) Robert Covington 14% (63 misses)
Above-break 3 right 210-621 33.8 630 Robert Covington 19% (120 pts) Andrew Wiggins 12% (75 pts) Robert Covington 14% (56 misses) Jarrett Culver 12% (49 misses)