Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (139-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 35 | 8-20 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 31 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 23 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 27 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 25 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 5-8 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 25 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 24 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 4 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter