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2020-03-08

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% -
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% -
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -13 (107-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 40 6-12 0-2 3-5 12 7 1 0 15 - -
Lonzo Ball * 35 7-13 4-8 0-1 5 8 2 0 18 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 13-20 3-8 8-9 9 8 1 1 37 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 9-15 1-1 4-6 7 1 0 1 23 - -
Derrick Favors * 21 4-6 0-0 1-1 9 0 0 2 9 - -
Nicolo Melli 26 3-7 1-4 4-7 4 3 1 1 11 - -
Josh Hart 26 0-8 0-6 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 - -
E'Twaun Moore 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Frank Jackson 10 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 34 6-18 0-7 7-7 6 5 1 1 19 - -
Malik Beasley * 32 8-20 4-7 1-3 9 0 1 0 21 - -
Josh Okogie * 29 3-8 1-3 5-5 5 4 3 0 12 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 27 1-5 0-3 1-2 8 1 1 0 3 - -
Naz Reid * 25 4-14 0-5 2-2 5 1 3 1 10 - -
James Johnson 24 5-11 3-5 2-2 5 4 0 1 15 - -
Jarrett Culver 20 4-7 0-1 2-4 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Jake Layman 19 4-6 0-1 3-4 1 0 1 0 11 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 16 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 6 - -
Jaylen Nowell 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 - -

* = starter