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2020-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% - βœ“
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -1.3 βœ— (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - βœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 37 7-17 3-6 5-7 10 6 1 2 22 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 35 3-11 0-3 4-6 6 5 1 1 10 - -
Robert Covington * 30 6-15 3-9 0-0 8 2 3 1 15 - -
Shabazz Napier * 28 5-13 2-10 5-5 3 7 0 0 17 - -
Jarrett Culver * 17 1-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 - -
Josh Okogie 26 4-8 0-2 4-4 4 1 2 0 12 - -
Kelan Martin 19 5-6 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 19 3-4 1-2 2-4 1 2 2 0 9 - -
Gorgui Dieng 10 2-4 1-1 2-2 6 0 1 1 7 - -
Jordan Bell 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dewayne Dedmon * 34 2-8 0-3 0-0 12 3 2 5 4 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 10-16 3-4 8-12 3 5 2 0 31 - -
Harrison Barnes * 34 5-11 3-4 1-2 5 7 0 0 14 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 31 5-7 4-5 9-11 2 3 0 0 23 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 27 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 1 12 - -
Kent Bazemore 23 1-5 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 1 4 - -
Buddy Hield 19 6-12 2-5 2-3 2 3 1 0 16 - -
Cory Joseph 15 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Harry Giles III 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Anthony Tolliver 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter