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2020-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 76.1% 23.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -1.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% -
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -5 (134-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 35 11-13 4-5 2-2 3 4 0 0 28 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 33 6-11 2-5 2-3 8 2 3 0 16 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 8-21 3-9 4-4 3 8 1 0 23 - -
Josh Okogie * 30 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Naz Reid * 27 5-12 1-4 2-2 14 3 3 2 13 - -
James Johnson 21 8-14 1-2 2-4 6 5 2 0 19 - -
Jarrett Culver 19 5-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 19 6-7 1-2 0-0 0 6 1 0 13 - -
Jake Layman 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Kelan Martin 7 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 10-16 2-6 5-9 10 12 0 0 27 - -
Brandon Ingram * 35 9-17 3-7 3-3 3 4 2 0 24 - -
Lonzo Ball * 32 9-12 7-10 1-2 5 8 3 1 26 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 10-19 0-0 5-9 8 3 4 1 25 - -
Derrick Favors * 26 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 10 - -
Josh Hart 26 5-13 1-9 0-0 6 5 1 0 11 - -
Nicolo Melli 18 2-6 0-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 5 - -
E'Twaun Moore 17 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Frank Jackson 12 1-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter