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2020-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% -
Efficiency 75.0% 25.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -
Points Off/Def 61.2% 38.8% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (124-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 37 16-27 0-0 13-13 6 10 1 0 45 35 -
P.J. Tucker * 36 0-2 0-2 2-2 3 5 4 0 2 12 -
James Harden * 34 3-13 0-6 6-6 4 5 0 3 12 11 -
Clint Capela * 33 9-12 0-0 0-3 9 0 0 5 18 20 -
Ben McLemore * 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 1 -
Eric Gordon 35 8-19 6-13 5-7 5 3 0 0 27 16 -
Danuel House Jr. 26 3-5 2-4 0-0 6 0 2 1 8 12 -
Austin Rivers 19 7-8 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 16 12 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 33 11-19 3-7 3-4 5 3 1 0 28 18 -
Josh Okogie * 32 6-9 0-0 5-5 6 4 3 0 17 21 -
Robert Covington * 29 4-13 2-8 0-0 7 1 0 2 10 7 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 27 12-23 2-5 4-4 12 3 0 2 30 24 -
Shabazz Napier * 24 3-4 1-1 2-2 4 5 2 0 9 16 -
Jordan McLaughlin 23 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 8 8 -
Allen Crabbe 21 3-6 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 8 4 -
Keita Bates-Diop 18 2-6 0-0 1-1 6 6 1 3 5 15 -
Jarrett Culver 17 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 7 3 -
Gorgui Dieng 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter