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2020-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.5% 26.5% - โœ“
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (124-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 37 16-27 0-0 13-13 6 10 1 0 45 - -
P.J. Tucker * 36 0-2 0-2 2-2 3 5 4 0 2 - -
James Harden * 34 3-13 0-6 6-6 4 5 0 3 12 - -
Clint Capela * 33 9-12 0-0 0-3 9 0 0 5 18 - -
Ben McLemore * 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 - -
Eric Gordon 35 8-19 6-13 5-7 5 3 0 0 27 - -
Danuel House Jr. 26 3-5 2-4 0-0 6 0 2 1 8 - -
Austin Rivers 19 7-8 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 16 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 33 11-19 3-7 3-4 5 3 1 0 28 - -
Josh Okogie * 32 6-9 0-0 5-5 6 4 3 0 17 - -
Robert Covington * 29 4-13 2-8 0-0 7 1 0 2 10 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 27 12-23 2-5 4-4 12 3 0 2 30 - -
Shabazz Napier * 24 3-4 1-1 2-2 4 5 2 0 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 23 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Allen Crabbe 21 3-6 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 18 2-6 0-0 1-1 6 6 1 3 5 - -
Jarrett Culver 17 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter