Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 37 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 7-24 | 3-8 | 9-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 27 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 21 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Treveon Graham | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Bell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 31 | 8-22 | 1-8 | 5-8 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 29 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 9-9 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 17 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter