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2020-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (120-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 40 11-19 2-5 3-4 12 2 0 1 27 - -
Trae Young * 37 10-23 6-13 12-13 4 11 1 0 38 - -
Kevin Huerter * 36 5-10 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 11 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 29 4-7 2-3 2-2 5 2 1 1 12 - -
Damian Jones * 24 6-7 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 1 14 - -
Brandon Goodwin 20 3-8 1-4 2-2 8 0 0 0 9 - -
Jeff Teague 19 1-3 0-0 7-7 0 2 1 1 9 - -
Vince Carter 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Treveon Graham 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 38 7-15 2-6 5-6 11 1 2 1 21 - -
Josh Okogie * 36 8-11 0-3 7-8 0 1 3 1 23 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 36 9-20 3-8 4-6 7 3 2 1 25 - -
Jarrett Culver * 30 3-9 0-3 1-3 1 3 1 1 7 - -
Kelan Martin * 21 3-7 1-3 2-2 4 0 2 1 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 31 7-15 1-6 0-0 1 7 3 0 15 - -
Allen Crabbe 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Naz Reid 12 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 10 - -
Jaylen Nowell 10 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 9 2-3 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter