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Memphis Grizzlies

Also known as: Memphis Grizzlies
Program History

2004 Team Stats (74 games)

96.2
PPG
93.2
Opp
+3.0
Margin
44.6%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
41.8
RPG
23.3
APG
14.4
TO
93.6
Est. poss./game
94.7
Adj PPG
92.2
Adj Opp PPG
#8
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1070 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1083 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 1008 (#12) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +2.5 (#8) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ +0.8 (#12) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.550 (#9) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.8 More โ†’ 0.550 (#9) NetEff +1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.574 (#8) AdjNet +2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.6 More โ†’ 0.575 (#8) AdjNet +2.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.7 | AdjD 92.2 More โ†’ 0.556 (#8) AdjO 94.7 | AdjD 92.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 93.1 More โ†’ 0.511 (#12) AdjO 93.6 | AdjD 93.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.557 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.548 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 213 | GP 86 More โ†’ 1074 (#7) RD 213 | GP 86

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-31 vs Boston Celtics L 91 - 93
2003-11-01 @ Houston Rockets W 79 - 71
2003-11-03 vs San Antonio Spurs W 88 - 80
2003-11-05 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2003-11-07 @ Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2003-11-08 @ Utah Jazz L 89 - 96
2003-11-10 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 105 - 95
2003-11-12 @ Orlando Magic W 107 - 97
2003-11-15 vs Dallas Mavericks W 108 - 101
2003-11-19 vs Detroit Pistons L 92 - 99
2003-11-21 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 98 - 97
2003-11-23 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 89 - 121
2003-11-25 @ Sacramento Kings L 89 - 109
2003-11-28 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 98 - 102
2003-11-29 @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2003-12-01 @ Boston Celtics W 96 - 89
2003-12-03 @ Brooklyn Nets W 96 - 93
2003-12-05 vs Washington Wizards W 92 - 77
2003-12-07 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 93 - 79
2003-12-10 vs Atlanta Hawks W 103 - 90
2003-12-12 @ Miami Heat L 88 - 91
2003-12-13 vs Brooklyn Nets W 110 - 63
2003-12-15 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2003-12-16 vs Sacramento Kings W 105 - 100
2003-12-19 vs Miami Heat W 97 - 83
2003-12-20 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 89 - 94
2003-12-22 @ Denver Nuggets L 99 - 106
2003-12-23 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2003-12-26 vs New York Knicks L 94 - 98
2003-12-27 @ Dallas Mavericks L 98 - 104
2003-12-29 @ Indiana Pacers L 86 - 94
2003-12-30 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 99 - 105
2004-01-02 vs Utah Jazz W 100 - 88
2004-01-03 vs Orlando Magic W 112 - 103
2004-01-09 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 116 - 122
2004-01-11 @ LA Clippers W 108 - 107
2004-01-12 @ Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2004-01-15 vs Chicago Bulls W 108 - 93
2004-01-17 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 91 - 87
2004-01-19 vs Houston Rockets W 88 - 83
2004-01-21 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 88 - 82
2004-01-23 vs Sacramento Kings W 109 - 95
2004-01-25 vs Denver Nuggets W 106 - 88
2004-01-28 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 76 - 88
2004-01-30 vs Utah Jazz L 79 - 85
2004-01-31 @ Detroit Pistons L 78 - 80
2004-02-02 vs Golden State Warriors W 106 - 101
2004-02-04 @ Washington Wizards W 103 - 101
2004-02-06 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 105 - 85
2004-02-08 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 99 - 98
2004-02-09 @ Denver Nuggets L 83 - 86
2004-02-11 vs LA Clippers W 110 - 102
2004-02-17 vs Dallas Mavericks W 109 - 92
2004-02-20 vs Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2004-02-21 @ Chicago Bulls W 105 - 98
2004-02-23 vs Denver Nuggets W 109 - 106
2004-02-25 vs Golden State Warriors L 92 - 99
2004-02-27 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 104 - 106
2004-02-28 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 92
2004-03-01 @ San Antonio Spurs W 81 - 80
2004-03-03 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 97 - 88
2004-03-06 @ LA Clippers W 98 - 92
2004-03-07 @ Golden State Warriors W 95 - 85
2004-03-09 vs San Antonio Spurs W 94 - 88
2004-03-12 vs LA Clippers W 98 - 89
2004-03-13 @ Houston Rockets L 80 - 88
2004-03-16 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 82 - 79
2004-03-18 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 94 - 97
2004-03-20 vs Indiana Pacers W 99 - 95
2004-03-23 vs Toronto Raptors W 95 - 86
2004-03-24 @ New York Knicks W 111 - 97
2004-03-26 vs Houston Rockets W 109 - 86
2004-03-28 @ Toronto Raptors W 94 - 88
2004-03-29 @ Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2004-04-02 vs Phoenix Suns W 109 - 99
2004-04-04 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 82 - 90
2004-04-05 @ Utah Jazz L 81 - 92
2004-04-07 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 92 - 74
2004-04-09 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 95 - 103
2004-04-11 @ Phoenix Suns L 83 - 89
2004-04-13 @ Dallas Mavericks L 103 - 110
2004-04-14 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 90 - 107
2004-04-17 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2004-04-19 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2004-04-22 vs San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2004-04-25 vs San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pau Gasol Pau Gasol G 70 31.6 17.4 7.8 2.6 0.6 1.6 2.3 13.3 14.3 - - - - 47.8 9.1 71.3 - 53.7 47.9
James Posey G 74 29.5 13.6 4.9 1.5 1.7 0.5 1.4 9.4 11.5 - - - - 47.4 39.4 82.7 - 61.0 54.8
Bonzi Wells G 54 25.0 12.6 3.4 1.8 1.2 0.3 2.2 11.5 5.5 - - - - 44.2 35.6 75.3 - 49.6 45.9
Jason Williams G 65 29.5 11.0 2.0 6.8 1.2 0.0 1.9 10.0 9.2 - - - - 40.7 33.5 84.4 - 51.8 49.2
Mike Miller Mike Miller G 58 26.4 10.8 3.2 3.4 0.8 0.2 1.7 9.1 7.7 - - - - 44.2 37.0 72.7 - 53.6 50.6
Lorenzen Wright G 60 25.7 9.4 6.9 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.2 9.0 8.8 - - - - 44.1 0.0 72.3 - 47.4 44.1
Stromile Swift G 69 19.5 9.4 5.0 0.5 0.8 1.6 1.2 7.4 8.7 - - - - 47.2 33.3 72.8 - 53.1 47.2
Shane Battier G 71 24.1 8.2 3.7 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 6.6 7.9 - - - - 44.3 33.9 73.2 - 54.2 50.2
Earl Watson G 73 20.7 5.8 2.1 5.0 1.2 0.2 1.9 5.6 6.8 - - - - 38.5 27.4 65.6 - 45.7 41.7
Wesley Person G 13 17.3 5.1 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.9 6.5 0.8 - - - - 31.0 27.3 83.3 - 38.1 36.3
Bo Outlaw G 74 19.5 4.7 4.2 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.8 3.8 7.1 - - - - 52.7 0.0 50.5 - 53.3 52.7
Jake Tsakalidis G 36 13.4 4.1 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.6 3.3 4.5 - - - - 47.9 0 61.4 - 51.7 47.9
Theron Smith G 19 8.9 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.1 2.4 - - - - 37.5 50.0 71.4 - 47.6 45.0
Dahntay Jones G 19 7.8 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.7 0.9 - - - - 29.4 25.0 45.5 - 32.2 30.4
Troy Bell F 6 5.7 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.0 3.0 -0.7 - - - - 22.2 0.0 100.0 - 28.5 22.2
Ryan Humphrey - 2 5.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 - - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG