Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (91-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Watson * | 39 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 18 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 45 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Loren Woods | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter