Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 44 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 40 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 30 | 2-14 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Watson * | 43 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 24 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shane Battier | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
* = starter