Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +14 (97-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| John Wallace * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malik Allen | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Troy Bell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter