Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (106-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 41 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 35 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Adonal Foyle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonzi Wells * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 18 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Shane Battier | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter