Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (109-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 26 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Travis Best * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| James Posey * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 12 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter