Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (108-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 46 | 8-17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 44 | 6-18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 28 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Travis Best * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| James Posey * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter