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2004-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 20.3% 79.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - โœ—
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 โœ— (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ—

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -1 (98-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 34 11-14 0-0 5-8 6 1 1 0 3 27 18 -
Jason Williams * 33 5-13 1-7 0-0 1 12 1 0 1 11 11 -
James Posey * 32 3-7 1-3 4-4 4 2 2 0 1 11 11 -
Mike Miller * 27 5-8 1-3 2-2 5 2 2 1 0 13 15 -
Lorenzen Wright * 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
Bo Outlaw * 22 0-1 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 -
Bonzi Wells * 20 4-9 0-1 2-3 0 3 3 0 2 10 5 -
Earl Watson * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Shane Battier 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 4 6 -
Stromile Swift 17 6-13 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 0 14 6 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Cassell * 39 13-18 1-1 7-8 1 11 2 1 6 34 25 -
Kevin Garnett * 39 11-22 0-0 8-9 16 5 2 2 4 30 29 -
Latrell Sprewell * 37 2-8 0-1 0-2 5 1 1 0 3 4 0 -
Trenton Hassell * 31 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
Fred Hoiberg * 29 4-6 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 10 8 -
Mark Madsen * 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
Ervin Johnson * 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 4 8 -
Gary Trent * 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Darrick Martin * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Oliver Miller * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 2 1 2 4 -

* = starter