Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (110-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 26 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 25 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| James Posey * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier | 25 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels * | 48 | 12-19 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Travis Best | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter