Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (104-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 31 | 12-26 | 0-5 | 6-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 43 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 41 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 41 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 38 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 26 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Danny Fortson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter