Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -8 (71-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 26 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 44 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 38 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 6 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter