Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (91-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 34 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Mike James * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Eric Williams | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 18 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter