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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2014 Team Stats (30 games)

77.0
PPG
66.6
Opp
+11.5
Margin
44.7%
FG%
39.0%
3P%
73.8%
FT%
35.1
RPG
14.3
APG
9.4
TO
76.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1833 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1694 (#3) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +43.8 (#2) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.821 (#8) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.7 More → 0.815 (#8) NetEff +13.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.6 More → 0.945 (#4) AdjNet +24.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.8 More → 0.946 (#4) AdjNet +24.8

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Davidson Wildcats W 111 - 77
2013-11-15 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 97 - 64
2013-11-24 vs Vermont Catamounts W 91 - 90
2013-11-27 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 74 - 64
2013-12-03 vs Michigan Wolverines W 79 - 69
2013-12-16 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 85 - 66
2013-12-19 vs UCLA Bruins W 80 - 63
2013-12-28 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 82 - 59
2013-12-31 @ Elon Phoenix W 86 - 48
2014-01-04 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 77 - 79
2014-01-07 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 79 - 57
2014-01-11 @ Clemson Tigers L 59 - 72
2014-01-13 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 69 - 65
2014-01-18 vs NC State Wolfpack W 95 - 60
2014-01-22 @ Miami Hurricanes W 67 - 46
2014-01-25 vs Florida State Seminoles W 78 - 56
2014-01-27 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 80 - 65
2014-02-01 @ Syracuse Orange L 89 - 91
2014-02-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 63
2014-02-08 @ Boston College Eagles W 89 - 68
2014-02-12 @ North Carolina Tar Heels - Preview
2014-02-15 vs Maryland Terrapins W 69 - 67
2014-02-18 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 68 - 51
2014-02-20 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 66 - 74
2014-02-22 vs Syracuse Orange W 66 - 60
2014-02-25 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 66 - 48
2014-03-05 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 72 - 82
2014-03-08 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 93 - 81
2014-03-14 vs Clemson Tigers W 63 - 62
2014-03-15 vs NC State Wolfpack W 75 - 67
2014-03-16 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 63 - 72
2014-03-21 vs Mercer Bears L 71 - 78

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Parker J. Parker F 31 30.6 18.8 8.9 1.1 1.0 1.1 2.1 13.5 15.2 23 2.1 4.3 46.8 33.3 75.1 0.71 58.2 50.2
R. Hood R. Hood F 31 32.5 15.5 3.8 2.1 0.7 0.3 1.4 11.7 9.4 - - - 43.4 39.7 80.8 - 59.1 51.9
Q. Cook Q. Cook G 31 29.2 11.6 2.2 4.2 1.5 0.0 1.6 8.6 9.2 - - - 41.6 38.1 85.1 - 60.5 52.6
R. Sulaimon R. Sulaimon G 30 26.1 10.2 2.5 2.6 0.8 0.0 1.2 7.0 8.0 - - - 39.8 40.0 77.1 - 59.7 48.8
A. Dawkins A. Dawkins G 30 14.0 8.1 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 5.9 4.0 - - - 43.8 41.7 80.0 - 63.1 60.7
A. Jefferson A. Jefferson F 31 23.2 6.5 7.2 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 4.1 11.3 - - - 61.7 0 54.8 - 65.0 61.7
T. Thornton T. Thornton G 31 21.3 3.3 1.7 2.3 1.3 0.0 0.7 2.1 5.8 - - - 41.5 45.3 85.0 - 68.4 60.0
M. Jones M. Jones G 28 7.6 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.5 1.6 102 7.8 11.1 31.7 17.6 51.6 1.89 45.8 35.4
A. Murphy A. Murphy F 3 7.0 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 66.5 0.0
J. Hairston J. Hairston F 26 9.0 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 - - - 48.3 0 62.5 - 53.8 48.3
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee C 27 9.0 1.3 2.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.0 3.4 - - - 55.6 0 35.3 - 52.2 55.6
S. Ojeleye S. Ojeleye F 15 4.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 - - - 44.4 66.7 100.0 - 71.9 55.6
N. Pagliuca N. Pagliuca G 3 1.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
T. Zafirovski T. Zafirovski F 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG