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2014-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% -
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (66-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wilson * 38 3-12 0-2 1-1 3 4 0 0 6 7 -4 -
J. Eddie * 37 3-12 1-6 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
T. Thompson * 35 6-9 0-0 3-4 6 1 3 1 1 15 16 -
W. Johnston * 30 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. van Zegeren * 27 4-9 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 3 2 8 10 -
C. Beyer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
C.J. Barksdale 12 4-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 9 5 -
M. Wood 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Raines 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hood * 37 9-17 3-7 0-0 2 4 1 1 2 21 10 -
R. Sulaimon * 36 4-11 4-9 3-4 4 5 2 0 0 15 15 -
T. Thornton * 33 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 7 3 0 0 3 11 -
J. Parker * 27 3-11 0-3 5-6 12 3 3 3 3 11 18 -
A. Jefferson * 26 3-3 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 0 3 6 9 -
M. Plumlee 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
Q. Cook 11 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
A. Dawkins 9 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
M. Jones 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Ojeleye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Hairston 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter