Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 39 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| R. Turner * | 27 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. Vandenberg * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Lewis * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Washington * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Freeman | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| C. Barber | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Lee | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Anya | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parker * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| R. Hood * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Sulaimon * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| T. Thornton * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Q. Cook | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Hairston | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter