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2014-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% -
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 20.5% 79.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Log Adjusted 3.7% 96.3% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones * 40 0-2 0-0 9-13 3 3 3 0 2 9 14 -
T. McKie * 30 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
D. Thomas * 27 5-8 0-0 4-9 2 3 0 0 4 14 7 -
A. Adala Moto * 23 3-8 0-0 4-4 10 0 0 0 4 10 8 -
C. Williams * 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -
T. Cavanaugh 24 4-10 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 9 -1 -
M. Overton 22 4-6 2-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 12 8 -
A. Rountree 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
A. Washington 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sulaimon * 37 6-10 2-3 5-6 4 5 2 0 3 19 17 -
R. Hood * 33 3-10 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 8 1 -
J. Parker * 27 8-10 0-1 5-7 8 1 2 2 1 21 23 -
T. Thornton * 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 5 3 0 0 3 8 -
A. Jefferson * 20 0-0 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
A. Dawkins 19 5-8 4-7 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 17 11 -
Q. Cook 18 2-6 2-6 1-2 0 2 0 0 2 7 1 -
M. Plumlee 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Hairston 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
M. Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
S. Ojeleye 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter