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2014-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 86.1% 13.9% -
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% -
Margin 78.8% 21.2% -7.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 85.6% 14.4% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -21 (46-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jefferson * 32 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 3 1 8 11 -
R. Hood * 32 5-8 2-4 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 12 15 -
J. Parker * 32 5-12 0-3 7-8 15 0 0 3 4 17 19 -
Q. Cook * 26 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 8 2 -
M. Jones * 16 1-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
R. Sulaimon 23 3-6 1-3 2-5 0 4 0 0 1 9 6 -
T. Thornton 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Dawkins 10 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 6 3 -
J. Hairston 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Plumlee 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
S. Ojeleye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Adams * 35 3-11 0-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 8 2 -
D. Kirk * 29 5-11 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 11 0 -
R. Brown * 27 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
T. Jekiri * 26 4-7 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 1 1 8 11 -
M. Lecomte * 23 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 6 4 -2 -
E. Swoope 21 0-3 0-0 3-6 4 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Kelly Sr. 16 2-4 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
D. Reed 15 1-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
R. Akpejiori 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter