Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Anderson * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Adams * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Wear * | 26 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| N. Powell * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Wear * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Z. LaVine | 29 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | - |
| B. Alford | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Parker | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Cook * | 40 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Parker * | 37 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| R. Hood * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Thornton * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Hairston * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| R. Sulaimon | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 7 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter