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2014-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.3% 95.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 13.3% 86.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +22 (78-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bookert * 35 3-7 1-1 5-6 2 2 1 1 4 12 7 -
M. Brandon * 28 4-5 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 3 11 8 -
O. White * 26 6-8 0-0 2-3 8 0 3 1 3 14 15 -
B. Bojanovsky * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
R. Gilchrist * 18 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Thomas 28 1-7 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 -2 -
I. Miller 24 4-9 1-3 0-1 1 0 1 0 3 9 -1 -
M. Ojo 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Smith 10 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Hopkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Allen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Parker * 33 3-13 0-1 8-9 14 0 3 0 3 14 15 -
Q. Cook * 28 3-8 1-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 9 5 -
A. Jefferson * 21 0-2 0-0 2-6 6 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
A. Dawkins * 11 3-6 3-6 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 11 6 -
M. Jones * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Sulaimon 28 1-8 1-3 8-8 4 2 1 0 3 11 7 -
T. Thornton 25 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 6 7 -
R. Hood 25 4-12 1-4 9-11 9 2 0 1 1 18 17 -
M. Plumlee 12 2-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
J. Hairston 8 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Ojeleye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter