Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Layman | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Seth Allen | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dez Wells | 27 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Nick Faust | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Charles Mitchell | 24 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Graham | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Damonte Dodd | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Roddy Peters | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaquille Cleare | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Parker | 39 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 27 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Hood | 22 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Quinn Cook | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter