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Colorado

Also known as: Colorado Buffaloes, Colorado
Program History

2013 Team Stats (9 games)

69.3
PPG
69.7
Opp
-0.3
Margin
43.2%
FG%
39.1%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
36.4
RPG
10.4
APG
13.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.7
Adj PPG
58.3
Adj Opp PPG
#45
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1207 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1199 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1034 (#114) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +11.3 (#46) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +11.7 (#35) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.669 (#88) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.3 More โ†’ 0.881 (#45) AdjNet +17.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.5 More โ†’ 0.883 (#45) AdjNet +17.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 58.3 More โ†’ 0.720 (#45) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 58.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 58.2 More โ†’ 0.639 (#52) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.747 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.732 (#59) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1175 (#64) RD 112 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Wofford Terriers W 74 - 59
2012-11-15 vs Dayton Flyers W 67 - 57
2012-11-16 @ Baylor Bears W 60 - 58
2012-11-18 @ Murray State Racers W 81 - 74
2012-11-25 vs Air Force Falcons W 89 - 74
2012-11-27 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 85 - 80
2012-12-01 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 69 - 76
2012-12-05 vs Colorado State Rams W 70 - 61
2012-12-08 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 54 - 90
2012-12-12 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 50 - 43
2012-12-21 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 98 - 51
2012-12-29 vs Hartford Hawks W 80 - 52
2013-01-03 @ Arizona Wildcats L 83 - 92
2013-01-06 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 56 - 65
2013-01-10 vs USC Trojans W 66 - 60
2013-01-12 vs UCLA Bruins L 75 - 78
2013-01-16 @ Washington Huskies L 54 - 64
2013-01-19 @ Washington State Cougars W 58 - 49
2013-01-24 vs Stanford Cardinal W 75 - 54
2013-01-27 vs California Golden Bears W 81 - 71
2013-02-02 @ Utah Utes L 55 - 58
2013-02-07 @ Oregon Ducks W 48 - 47
2013-02-10 @ Oregon State Beavers W 72 - 68
2013-02-14 vs Arizona Wildcats W 71 - 58
2013-02-16 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 62 - 63
2013-02-21 vs Utah Utes W 60 - 50
2013-02-27 @ Stanford Cardinal W 65 - 63
2013-03-02 @ California Golden Bears L 46 - 62
2013-03-07 vs Oregon Ducks W 76 - 53
2013-03-09 vs Oregon State Beavers L 58 - 64
2013-03-13 vs Oregon State Beavers W 74 - 68
2013-03-14 @ Arizona Wildcats L 69 - 79
2013-03-22 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 49 - 57

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Spencer Dinwiddie Spencer Dinwiddie G 33 32.5 15.3 3.2 3.0 1.3 0.5 2.2 4.9 16.2 -5 20 -0.2 -0.4 44.7 35.1 81.1 2.45 117.6 53.1
Askia Booker Askia Booker G 33 31.8 12.4 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.0 2.1 6.7 10.5 -28 20 -1.4 -2.0 31.5 28.7 74.5 0.4 83.9 37.2
Andre Roberson Andre Roberson F 31 33.4 10.9 11.2 1.4 2.2 1.3 2.4 4.2 20.4 -31 18 -1.7 -2.2 44.3 32.0 48.8 -0.6 113.1 47.3
Josh Scott Josh Scott F 31 28.2 10.2 5.7 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.2 4.4 12.2 -2 20 -0.1 -0.2 51.1 0 80.0 2.64 95.7 51.1
Xavier Johnson Xavier Johnson G 33 24.0 8.9 4.8 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.8 3.0 10.1 -22 20 -1.1 -2.1 54.5 47.2 60.3 0.9 118.5 63.1
Sabatino Chen Sabatino Chen G 33 23.4 4.4 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.1 1.1 2.0 5.8 -16 20 -0.8 -1.5 38.5 33.3 71.4 1.8 98.3 45.4
Jeremy Adams Jeremy Adams G 30 11.0 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.2 2.7 -60 18 -3.3 -14.4 37.8 40.0 64.7 -3.5 88.8 43.2
Xavier Talton Xavier Talton G 32 7.3 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 1.7 -15 19 -0.8 -4.9 50.0 60.0 60.0 1.18 99.2 56.8
Beau Gamble Beau Gamble G 5 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0 - - - - 33.3 0 0 -1.07 116.7 33.3
Eli Stalzer Eli Stalzer G 25 9.1 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.8 1.5 0 15 0.0 0.0 36.8 26.7 80.0 0.44 84.9 47.4
Shane Harris-Tunks Shane Harris-Tunks F-C 32 8.7 1.3 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.9 -33 19 -1.7 -9.0 36.4 0 50.0 -2.22 78.8 36.4
Ben Mills Ben Mills C 6 3.8 1.2 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.76 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG